Cuba Journal
Business

Cuba’s U.S. Trade Is a Bridge With No Return Lane

Natalia Suyos ·

5 min read

generated illustration street facade centro havana people walking vintage classic car

A bridge is supposed to solve a problem of distance.

It does not ask who owns the river. It does not care which flags hang at either bank. It carries what the banks need from one side to the other, and its blunt morality is movement: trucks forward, wheels turning, cargo arriving.

Cuba has built a bridge to the United States while insisting, loudly and often, that the country on the far shore is its implacable enemy. The bridge is not diplomatic. It is not elegant. It is not even reciprocal. It is a freight bridge, improvised from licenses, remittances, private importers, food exemptions and the stubborn fact that an island in crisis will buy from whoever can sell.

The newest figures are too large to hide inside the usual rhetoric. From January through August, U.S. goods exports to Cuba reached $876.5 million, already exceeding the $809.6 million recorded in all of 2025. August alone accounted for $202.5 million. Cuban exports in the other direction amounted to roughly $574,000 over those eight months. This is trade, technically. In practice it is a one-way bridge. (census.gov)

The number arrived in public view last week with an irony sharp enough to cut rope. Washington’s policy toward Havana is again described as maximum pressure. Havana describes that pressure, not inaccurately, as an effort to suffocate the country’s economic options. Yet American goods are moving south in record quantities: food, fuel, solar equipment, vehicles, machinery, supplies. The island’s most energetic commercial artery is now running through the country whose embargo defines so much of its political vocabulary. (elespectador.com)

That is not proof that the embargo has disappeared. Most transactions remain prohibited, and the maze of restrictions is real. The United States still permits specific categories of exports, including agricultural goods and items intended for private Cuban entrepreneurs. The distinction matters. A bridge with checkpoints is still a bridge; it is simply a bridge on which someone else decides what can cross. (ustr.gov)

But neither is this record commerce a vindication of the Cuban state. It is an indictment of its failure to make the island capable of feeding, fueling and equipping itself without turning ordinary survival into an import operation.

For decades, the Revolution treated foreign trade as a strategic chamber under state lock and key. The state would buy. The state would distribute. The state would decide which shortages were temporary, which were patriotic, and which could safely be named. The private sector was tolerated in the margins, then licensed, then corralled, then blamed for the distortions created by the very controls meant to contain it.

Now the margins have become a supply line.

Cuba’s small private firms were authorized only recently, but they have learned the oldest lesson in commerce: if the warehouse is empty, the ideology of the warehouse is irrelevant. They import the goods the state cannot reliably provide. They supply shops, restaurants, repair businesses, transport operators and households able to find dollars or receive them from abroad. They do not abolish scarcity. They redistribute access to it.

That is the regime’s particular humiliation. Its answer to collapse has not been an orderly national opening, with rules clear enough to attract capital and rights secure enough to let citizens build something durable. It has been a reluctant partial retreat, conducted under duress, while the state retains command over the currency, the banks, the wholesale channels, the principal assets and the terms of legitimacy itself.

The bridge is busy because the road behind it is broken.

There is an easy case against reading too much into the numbers. Imports do not mean freedom. A container of chicken or solar panels does not create an independent judiciary, free media, competitive elections or the right to organize without state permission. Nor does a rapidly expanding import business necessarily mean broad prosperity when so many Cubans remain outside the dollar economy that finances it.

That counter-case deserves to be heard. Much of this commerce exists because Cuban families need food, power and basic supplies now, not because either government has solved the larger political quarrel. Some of it is plainly humanitarian in effect. Some of it keeps small enterprises alive. Some of it may be the only reason a neighborhood shop has cooking oil, a mechanic has a part, or a household can keep a fan moving during another long night.

And Washington should resist the temptation to mistake controlled commercial exceptions for a coherent Cuba policy. Economic pressure that lands most heavily on an exhausted population can supply Havana with its oldest alibi: the external enemy. The regime has spent sixty-seven years perfecting the conversion of hardship into propaganda. It should not be handed fresh material.

Still, the bridge reveals something Havana would rather keep off the ledger. The Cuban system is no longer defending economic sovereignty. It is managing economic dependence while preserving political monopoly.

In 1992, the year American sales to Cuba last approached this kind of scale, the Soviet Union had vanished and the island was entering the Special Period. The old patron had gone dark. Cuba’s rulers called the deprivation resistance, and many Cubans had no choice but to endure it. Three decades later, the names of the patrons and pressures have changed, but the governing reflex remains: wait for an external arrangement to rescue an internal model that has stopped producing enough of anything except permission slips.

The 2015–2017 opening briefly offered another possibility. It was imperfect, reversible and too timid, but it suggested that Cuba could reconnect with the United States through law, travel, investment, exchange and a widening space for ordinary initiative. That historical window is closed. It cannot be recreated by nostalgia, and it will not be reopened by treating Cuba as a battlefield, a bargaining chip or a postscript to someone else’s war.

What exists now is stranger and more revealing: a commerce corridor without normalization, a private economy growing beneath a state that distrusts private life, and an island importing ever more from the country it is trained to denounce.

A bridge can be useful even when it is ugly. But a nation cannot live forever at the receiving end of one.

Natalia Suyos writes for Cuba Journal on Business.